Five Thirty Eight gives Clinton a 70.9% chance of winning:
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Votes-wise, the New York Times sees Clinton on 46% and Trump on 42.9%.
Real Clear Politics four-way national average – that is, including fringe candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein – also puts Clinton ahead, but by only 2.2 percentage points.
A BBC poll of polls gives her a slightly more comfortable cushion of 48% v 44%.
As ever, read Mona Chalabi on the polls and what they are/aren’t telling you:
The nation’s first black president has urged US citizens to send the first woman to the White House in their 240-year history.
|Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton in Philadelphia.|
As the light emanated from Independence Hall in Philadelphia, the building where the Founding Fathers signed the Declaration of Independence, Barack Obama stood before the people who had braved a chilly Monday night and passed the torch to his preferred successor.
“I’m asking you to vote for this woman, this mother, this grandmother, to be the next president of the United States,” Obama said.
It was the largest event of Clinton’s 18-month campaign, drawing 33,000 inside the square. Obama’s voice reverberated to the surrounding streets from speakers positioned for the thousands who could not gain entry but looked on from outside. All told, an estimated 40,000 had descended upon the area hoping to bear witness to the climax of a gruelling 18-month election cycle.
Michelle Obama, who has emerged unexpectedly as Clinton’s most powerful surrogate, implored voters to grasp that presidential elections were “breathtakingly close”.
But it was unmistakably Clinton’s night. Mounting the podium, she threw up her arms and looked to the skies.
She had inched one step closer to cementing her place in history. To the jubilant supporters savouring the moment, she cautioned them that her fate remained in their hands.
“None of us, none of us,” Clinton said, “want to wake up on Wednesday morning and wish we had done more.”
credit: The Guardian